Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1224
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
DL 1224 · PVD → MSP
departs 2:50 PM ET · arrives 4:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 48h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave PVD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
PVD is prone to delays
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at PVD that day
Weather at each end
PVD (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.06 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.