Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2215
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
F9 2215 · SJU → TPA
departs 5:22 PM AT · arrives 8:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 45%
Sun 10/4 44%
Mon 10/5 34%
Tue 10/6 27%
Wed 10/7 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
12%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
SJU usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.