Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 4725
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
F9 4725 · SJU → MCO
departs 12:21 PM AT · arrives 3:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 30%
Fri 10/2
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 24%
Wed 10/7 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCO that day
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
SJU usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SJU (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 11,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.