Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3605
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3605 · JAX → MIA
departs 7:37 PM ET · arrives 8:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
20%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 49% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
20%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 0.75 mi, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at JAX that day
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
JAX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 4.04 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.