Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5147 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

OH 5147 · DCA → CVG

departs 6:46 PM ET · arrives 8:37 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ CVG usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts28 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.76 in

CVG (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.35 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5147 · DCA → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?