tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3004 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

WN 3004 · MCO → MSY

departs 2:00 PM ET · arrives 2:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
32% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 3.7d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSY?

  1. On time or early
    67%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    7%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.