Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4299 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

WN 4299 · DAL → CLT

departs 5:05 PM CT · arrives 8:35 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 60h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at DAL that day

↑ This flight has been late 47% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ DAL is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

DAL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.13 in

CLT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4299 · DAL → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?