Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3501
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
YX 3501 · GRR → EWR
departs 4:44 PM ET · arrives 6:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±4 pts
−11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to EWR?
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On time or early
63%
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15–30 min late
4%
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30 min–1 hour late
4%
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1–2 hours late
6%
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Over 2 hours late
7%
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Cancelled
16%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.