Schedule: a typical Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3501
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
YX 3501 · GRR → EWR
departs 4:44 PM ET · arrives 6:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to EWR?
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On time or early
67%
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15–30 min late
13%
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30 min–1 hour late
7%
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1–2 hours late
4%
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Over 2 hours late
5%
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Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.