Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3680
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
YX 3680 · BGR → EWR
departs 7:20 PM ET · arrives 9:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 16%
Sun 10/4 54%
Mon 10/5 39%
Fri 10/9 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
34%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 68% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave BGR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
BGR is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
BGR (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.19 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.