Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1933 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 1933 · CLT → ILM

departs 6:05 PM ET · arrives 7:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at ILM more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±5 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ILM?

On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at ILM that day

↑ 6pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ILM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip1.08 in

ILM (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.39 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1933 · CLT → ILM

Odds over time

How late will it get to ILM?