Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1413
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
B6 1413 · MVY → DCA
departs 3:09 PM ET · arrives 4:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 51%
Mon 10/5 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MVY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MVY is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
MVY (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DCA (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.