Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4158
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 4158 · LIT → CLT
departs 7:08 AM CT · arrives 10:17 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 18h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 7%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 7%
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±2 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at LIT that day
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
This flight has been late 8% of the time recently
Weather at each end
LIT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
CLT (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.54 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.