OH 5098 · DCA → BTV

departs 2:04 PM ET · arrives 3:54 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BTV?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BTV

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.46 in

BTV (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling4,000 ft Visibility3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5098 · DCA → BTV

Odds over time

How late will it get to BTV?