Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3450
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4 Tomorrow
YX 3450 · CLT → EWR
departs 2:35 PM ET · arrives 4:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 24%
Fri 10/9 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
2pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.46 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.