tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2196 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2196 · MIA → MSY

departs 8:15 PM ET · arrives 9:21 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 64h before departure
Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?
31% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSY?

  1. On time or early
    68%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.