Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

TURKISH AIRLINES · FLIGHT TK 157 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

TK 157 · IST → MIA

departs 12:21 PM +03 · arrives 4:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 17h after departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

No breakdown for this forecast yet.

Weather at each end

IST (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

MIA (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TK 157 · IST → MIA

Odds over time