tailodds FORECAST

Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1004 SCHEDULED
Tomorrow

AA 1004 · BOS → DCA

departs 7:52 PM ET · arrives 9:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
50% chance · ±3 pts +6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.8d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    49%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    20%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    17%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.