Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 733 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

AC 733 · LGA → YUL

departs 3:30 PM ET · arrives 5:19 PM EDT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at YUL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YUL?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at YUL that day

↑ 3pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YUL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1 mi Precip1.32 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 733 · LGA → YUL

Odds over time

How late will it get to YUL?