Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5842
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 17 Tomorrow
PT 5842 · CLT → PHF
departs 6:07 PM ET · arrives 7:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Sat 10/17
Sun 10/18 28%
Mon 10/19 22%
Tue 10/20 19%
Wed 10/21 17%
Thu 10/22 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHF more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at PHF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHF?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at PHF that day
↑
6pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Arrivals into PHF at that hour are usually not late
↓
PHF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
PHF (destination)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.63 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.