Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 11, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5842
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 18
PT 5842 · CLT → PHF
departs 6:06 PM ET · arrives 7:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 51h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Sat 10/17 33%
Sun 10/18
Mon 10/19 22%
Tue 10/20 19%
Wed 10/21 17%
Thu 10/22 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHF more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±9 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at PHF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHF?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Arrivals into PHF at that hour are usually not late
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at CLT that day
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHF (destination)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.