Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 10, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5842
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 17 Tomorrow
PT 5842 · PHF → CLT
departs 7:47 PM ET · arrives 9:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 68%
Sat 10/17
Sun 10/18 24%
Mon 10/19 20%
Tue 10/20 17%
Wed 10/21 17%
Thu 10/22 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave PHF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at PHF that day
↑
Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
7pm departures from PHF are usually not late
↓
PHF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHF (origin)
Gusts 30 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.63 in
CLT (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.