Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 11, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5842
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 18
PT 5842 · PHF → CLT
departs 7:47 PM ET · arrives 9:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 68%
Sat 10/17 30%
Sun 10/18
Mon 10/19 20%
Tue 10/20 17%
Wed 10/21 17%
Thu 10/22 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±10 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave PHF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into CLT at that hour are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
7pm departures from PHF are usually not late
↓
PT's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
PHF (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
CLT (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.