tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 9780 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AA 9780 · MIA → DCA

departs 5:09 AM ET · arrives 8:00 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 18h after departure
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
13% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.2d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.