Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 9953 LANDED 4:22 PM ET, ~17 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

OH 9953 · DCA → CLT

took off 3:18 PM ET · landed 4:22 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ DCA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 9953 · DCA → CLT

Odds over time