OO 3851 · MSP → RAP

took off 3:27 PM CT · landed 3:46 PM MT (scheduled 2:45 PM CT → 3:29 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to RAP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MSP that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at RAP that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ RAP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling1,600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.44 in

RAP (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precip0.15 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3851 · MSP → RAP

Odds over time

How late did it get to RAP?