Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5340
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Yesterday
OO 5340 · ATW → ORD
departs 6:23 AM CT · arrives 7:36 AM CT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/26
Today 12%
Wed 10/28 14%
Thu 10/29 17%
Fri 10/30 14%
Sat 10/31 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATW
Weather at each end
ATW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.