Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 19, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PORTER · FLIGHT PD 580
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 26 Yesterday
PD 580 · MCO → YYZ
departs 1:50 PM ET · arrives 5:03 PM EDT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/26
Today 18%
Wed 10/28 16%
Thu 10/29 12%
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at YYZ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to YYZ?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
1pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
YYZ usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 3,600 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
YYZ (destination)
Gusts — Ceiling — Visibility — Precip —
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.