tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 159 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)
Yesterday

WN 159 · CLT → BWI

took off 8:50 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 8:06 PM ET → 9:44 PM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to BWI?

  1. On time or early
    74%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.