WN 266 · AUS → DCA

took off 12:58 PM CT · landed 4:43 PM ET (scheduled 12:03 PM CT → 4:16 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DCA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 266 · AUS → DCA

Odds over time

How late did it get to DCA?