Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

LATAM ECUADOR · FLIGHT XL 119 LANDED 4:08 AM -05, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 26 Yesterday

XL 119 · MIA → GYE

took off 1:16 AM ET · landed 4:08 AM -05 (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 22h after departure

Arrive at GYE more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Gusts to 39 kt forecast at MIA that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GYE

↓ Arrivals into GYE at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.56 in

GYE (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

XL 119 · MIA → GYE

Odds over time