Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 506 IN THE AIR (OFF 4:15 PM HT, ETA 4:40 PM HT)

Tuesday, October 27 Today

9X 506 · HNL → JHM

took off 4:15 PM HT · expected to land 4:40 PM HT (scheduled 4:11 PM HT → 5:12 PM HT)

Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at JHM more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to JHM?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at JHM

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into JHM at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.49 in

JHM (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 506 · HNL → JHM

Odds over time

How late will it get to JHM?