Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 854 LANDED 9:19 AM HT, ~42 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, October 27 Today

9X 854 · LNY → HNL

took off 8:47 AM HT · landed 9:19 AM HT (scheduled 9:07 AM HT → 10:07 AM HT)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HNL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ 0.7 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at LNY that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 9am departures from LNY are usually not late

Weather at each end

LNY (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.34 in

HNL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.66 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 854 · LNY → HNL

Odds over time

How late did it get to HNL?