Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 1359
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
F9 1359 · MIA → DFW
departs 2:40 PM ET · arrives 4:54 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 22%
Thu 10/29 54%
Fri 10/30 40%
Sat 10/31 30%
Sun 11/1 36%
Mon 11/2 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
22%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
22%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
F9's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 37 kt
Ceiling 2,200 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.48 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.