Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
FRONTIER · FLIGHT F9 2676
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27
F9 2676 · DFW → MIA
departs 6:08 PM CT · arrives 10:12 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/27
Today 41%
Fri 10/30 48%
Sat 10/31 50%
Sun 11/1 42%
Mon 11/2 44%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±1 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −18 pts in 24h
−18 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
6pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MIA (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.