MQ 4304 · MIA → DOM

departs 10:16 AM ET · arrives 2:04 PM AST

Your aircraft is N222NS (E170), coming in as MQ 3386 from PNS: landed 8:34 AM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at DOM more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DOM?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 36 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 10am departures from MIA are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DOM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.37 in

DOM (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4304 · MIA → DOM

Odds over time

How late will it get to DOM?