Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 311 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

TA 311 · MIA → SAL

departs 3:49 PM ET · arrives 4:35 PM CST

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAL?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 36 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ 3pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SAL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts36 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.37 in

SAL (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TA 311 · MIA → SAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAL?