Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 311 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

TA 311 · MIA → SAL

departs 3:51 PM ET · arrives 4:40 PM CST

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at SAL more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAL?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into SAL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.11 in

SAL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

TA 311 · MIA → SAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAL?