tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1863 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1863 · EWR → MCO

departs 7:10 PM ET · arrives 10:07 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
24% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.