Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 445 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 445 · DEN → MIA

departs 4:06 PM MT · arrives 10:09 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Odds over time

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
58% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    41%
  2. 15–30 min late
    22%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    16%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    12%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.