WN 449 · MIA → AUS

departs 11:25 AM ET · arrives 1:32 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 37 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MIA that day

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from MIA are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts37 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.48 in

AUS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 449 · MIA → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?