Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1530
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
WS 1530 · YEG → MSP
departs 9:39 AM MDT · arrives 1:28 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Thu 10/29 33%
Fri 10/30 12%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 11%
Mon 11/2 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave YEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MSP that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at YEG that day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
9am departures from YEG are usually not late
Weather at each end
YEG (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.33 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.