Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1368 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Wednesday, October 28

AA 1368 · MIA → ATL

took off 6:13 PM ET · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 6:07 PM ET → 8:15 PM ET)

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.16 in

ATL (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1368 · MIA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?