tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1856 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

AA 1856 · SDQ → MIA

departs 10:29 AM AST · arrives 12:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
30% chance · ±4 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.4d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MIA?

  1. On time or early
    69%
  2. 15–30 min late
    20%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    5%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.