Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1856SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1856 · SDQ → MIA
departs 10:28 AM AST · arrives 12:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 52h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
25%chance · ±0 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.