Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2140 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

AA 2140 · CLT → MSP

departs 3:27 PM ET · arrives 5:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↑ 3pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2140 · CLT → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?