Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2203 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow

AA 2203 · DCA → CHS

departs 8:24 PM ET · arrives 10:21 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at CHS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±3 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHS?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ 8pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

CHS (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2203 · DCA → CHS

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHS?