Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
CARIBBEAN AIRLINES · FLIGHT BW 8042
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
BW 8042 · MIA → KIN
departs 1:21 AM ET · arrives 2:17 AM EST
Your aircraft is N649GT (B763), coming in as BW 790 from POS: still at POS, due off about 6:50 PM AST, 144 min before departure.
Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 44%
Wed 10/28
Odds over time
Arrive at KIN more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.1d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at KIN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at KIN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to KIN?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,729 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.41 in
KIN (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling — Visibility — Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.