Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1768
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 1768 · MCO → MSP
departs 6:30 PM ET · arrives 9:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 28%
Mon 11/2 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±5 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 32 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MCO that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at MSP that day
↑
6pm departures from MCO are often late
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.36 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.