Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 21, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2492
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 28 Tomorrow
DL 2492 · YYC → MSP
departs 7:46 AM MDT · arrives 11:25 AM CT
Forecast issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Wed 10/28
Thu 10/29 15%
Fri 10/30 9%
Sat 10/31 12%
Sun 11/1 10%
Mon 11/2 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 1 mi, 0.7 in of snow forecast at YYC that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
↑
Other factors
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into MSP at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
YYC (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.06 in
MSP (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.